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As the echoes of the housing bubble are felt across many cities in America, the volume of distressed inventory continues to weigh on home prices. On the one hand, the economics of owning a home are among the most attractive in a generation. On the other hand, home ownership is poised to continue dec...
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As the search for higher yielding investments moves increasingly toward illiquid investment opportunities, Anup Agarwal, Head of MBS/ABS and Elliott Neumayer, Western Asset Product Specialist for Asset- and Mortgage-Backed products, discuss opportunities in light of new global banking regulations th...
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to increase interest rates at its meeting next week. The probability of a December hike as implied by the futures market has moved from below 30% in mid-October to nearly 80% as of December 8. (Exhibit 1) Other parts of financial markets have responded as...
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A pension plan’s assets need to achieve a total return that matches or exceeds that of its liabilities. Merely achieving asset returns that fluctuate in line with liability returns—minimizing tracking error—is good, but it will not be enough if assets underperform liabilities over time. Achieving su...
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Ben Bernanke’s dovish surprise reaffirms that the Fed is “data-dependent” and that the Fed remains committed to providing accommodation until there is more progress towards its objectives. Over the past few years, Chairman Bernanke has been remarkably consistent on t...
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Following a wobbly start to the year, emerging market (EM) external sovereign debt has rebounded markedly to outperform most major asset classes. Total return—as measured by the JPMorgan Emerging Market Bond Index Global (EMBIG)—is up approximately 8% for the year through September 26, reversing las...
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Western Asset’s view has been that spread sectors will continue to generate excess returns even as the Federal Reserve (Fed) begins to raise rates. However, the last few weeks have challenged this view. Following a slightly hawkish tone from the Fed at its September meeting, US corporate and emergin...
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At a pension plan conference not long ago, a plan manager asked, “Why can’t I just forget about de-risking and behave like a long-run investor: maximizing expected total return?” The simple and short answer is that because a defined-benefit (DB) plan makes regular benefit payments, it simply can’t a...
How to improve warehouse operations.
The global picture remains one of a forward-moving but uninspiring recovery. While the US economic recovery has improved, Europe’s has faltered meaningfully, raising uncertainty in global financial markets. The overhang of geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East also clouds the outlook....
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Our diversified strategies have performed well in 2014 and we believe they are likely to be appropriate in 2015. Global crosscurrents have cut into spread products even as the economic story-lines remain favorable. Global inflation is shifting downward and the US dollar is gaining, which is producin...
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Next week Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Janet Yellen will give the opening speech at the annual conference of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. In the past, the Jackson Hole conference has been an opportunity for Fed chairs to argue for adjustments to monetary policy. Alan Greenspan used the 1...
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